Storm Prediction & Preparedness update #1
January 27, 2010
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

 

By Bobby Tallchief
Emergency Manager
Emergency Management


I am continuing to closely monitor the weather situation as the storm system off the California coast is beginning its move to the east this morning. The potential snow totals have went up over night with some models showing 14 to 15” of snow for our area. I have also seen that the potential ice totals have also been raised. I will attempt to send out an update this afternoon after the newest model runs and forecast discussions are released.

 

We should continue to make preparations for a possibly significant winter storm for our area. Today will be the last good weather day that you will have prior to the arrival of the storm system. Make adequate preparation actions today! I am attaching a link for recommended winter weather preparations from FEMA:   Click here to go to FEMA link

 

I am attaching the text of the winter storm warning that was issued for our area earlier this morning:

 

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO NOON CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO NOON CST FRIDAY...

FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... * IN OKLAHOMA...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE... WAGONER...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...PAWNEE...OTTAWA... WASHINGTON...
OSAGE...CRAIG...NOWATA...MCINTOSH AND MUSKOGEE.

IN ARKANSAS...WASHINGTON...MADISON...BENTON AND CARROLL.

* THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER SUNRISE THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 WITH SLEET MORE COMMON FURTHER NORTH TOWARD THE KANSAS BORDER. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME HEAVY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE SLEET TURNING TO HEAVY SNOW ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44. ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO SNOW AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY WITH THE RISK OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ENDING BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* DANGEROUS ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH ARE LIKELY ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM OKEMAH TO FAYETTEVILLE...WITH ICE AMOUNTS TAPERING OFF FURTHER NORTH. NORTH OF THE FREEZING RAIN CORRIDOR...SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WHICH WOULD IMPACT MUCH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE FURTHER NORTH TOWARD THE KANSAS BORDER...WHERE 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE ALL PRECIPITATION TYPES GIVEN THE GREATER TERRAIN INFLUENCES.

IMPACTS... * TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE CORRIDOR OF HEAVIEST ICING. FURTHER NORTH...POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS IMPACT ICE COVERED POWER LINES. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR POWER OUTAGES OF ONE TO FIVE DAYS...WITH MORE RURAL AREAS POSSIBLY WITHOUT POWER FOR OVER A WEEK.

DEFINITION... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES WHICH MAY LAST SEVERAL DAYS. DO NOT TOUCH DOWNED LINES AND REPORT ANY POWER OUTAGES TO YOUR ELECTRIC COMPANY.

* DELAY TRAVEL AND STAY HOME IF POSSIBLE UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

 

I will have another update later today.

 

Have a good day



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